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Preparing for the Next Macroeconomic Cycle — and Its Risks



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With an ongoing post-Covid recovery, it’s time for leaders to start considering what the next economic cycle — and its risks — will look like. Unlike Covid, which was an exogenous shock and thus largely unpredictable, the potential imbalances and risks, including inflation and bubbles, are endogenous to the system – they arise from within and grow over time. This means business leaders have a chance to build awareness, monitor, and grow their resilience to such shocks, even if precise predictions will remain out of reach.

When the pandemic hit last year, business leaders’ time horizons contracted sharply, forcing their focus on …

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